by
Znethru
@ 2008-09-17 - 22:42:23
Is this a good time to buy shares?
I sold everything a few months ago which proved to be the right move. If I'd have held on, I would have lost about 35-40% (instead of being +13% at the point I decided to quit the market).
So, if you are completely "out" at the moment, is it a good time to start getting back "in"?
My answer is a tentative yes, but only if you are prepared to hold shares medium to long term.
The market is incredibly volatile at the moment and could easily shed another 20-30% on the other hand, we may be very near to the bottom of the market right now.
One thing I will say with a moderate amount of certainty though, is that if you can buy at today's closing prices you will see these figures achieved again (and hopefully with some added value) within a small number of months.
What's more difficult is recommending individual shares to buy.
Oil and Gas shares look OK for the moment, though.
What I would tend to do is to 'buy the index'. This is not easy to do unless you are a customer of a company that deals in derivatives.
If you buy the index (or sell it) you are getting the overall trend of the FTSE or the Dow rather than any one individual company (which in today's climate looks more risky than ever).
Dealing in HBOS today was speculation bordering on playing with fire. Of course, some people have made 6- or 7- figure profits in a single day's trading. I guess they will have cracked open the champagne on the news that they will now get £2.32 per share (especially if they bought £1M's worth at 88p today).
I will end today's report there and hope to write another piece soon.